Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado St.
Mountain West
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.7#24
Expected Predictive Rating+12.5#29
Pace64.8#231
Improvement-0.6#195

Offense
Total Offense+10.5#6
Improvement+2.2#75

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#110
Improvement-2.8#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 20.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.0% n/a n/a
Second Round56.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen20.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.0% n/a n/a
Final Four3.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 148   Montana W 72-65 91%     1 - 0 +4.6 +1.3 +3.8
  Nov 21, 2012 54   @ Denver W 60-53 51%     2 - 0 +19.5 -4.6 +24.5
  Nov 24, 2012 77   @ Washington W 73-55 62%     3 - 0 +27.6 +14.4 +15.4
  Nov 26, 2012 251   Northern Colorado W 85-69 96%     4 - 0 +7.5 +10.1 -1.7
  Dec 01, 2012 79   Evansville W 79-72 82%     5 - 0 +9.8 +9.5 +0.3
  Dec 05, 2012 45   @ Colorado L 61-70 47%     5 - 1 +4.4 +1.7 +1.9
  Dec 08, 2012 193   @ Illinois-Chicago L 55-64 84%     5 - 2 -7.1 -7.2 -1.1
  Dec 17, 2012 257   North Florida W 83-55 97%     6 - 2 +19.2 +11.3 +10.2
  Dec 19, 2012 238   Cal St. Bakersfield W 78-58 96%     7 - 2 +12.4 +6.0 +7.3
  Dec 22, 2012 253   Portland W 70-53 94%     8 - 2 +11.7 +6.1 +7.8
  Dec 23, 2012 160   Virginia Tech W 88-52 87%     9 - 2 +36.4 +20.4 +19.3
  Jan 02, 2013 110   UTEP W 62-58 87%     10 - 2 +4.7 -1.6 +6.8
  Jan 05, 2013 119   St. Bonaventure W 85-64 88%     11 - 2 +20.9 +9.5 +11.6
  Jan 12, 2013 28   @ San Diego St. L 72-79 OT 39%     11 - 3 0 - 1 +8.6 +3.9 +5.2
  Jan 16, 2013 85   Air Force W 79-40 83%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +41.4 +7.5 +36.4
  Jan 19, 2013 31   UNLV W 66-61 65%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +13.7 +6.1 +8.1
  Jan 23, 2013 16   @ New Mexico L 61-66 34%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +12.0 -1.7 +13.7
  Jan 26, 2013 99   @ Fresno St. W 74-63 68%     14 - 4 3 - 2 +19.0 +13.4 +6.2
  Jan 30, 2013 47   Boise St. W 77-57 71%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +26.8 +9.2 +18.7
  Feb 02, 2013 89   Wyoming W 65-46 84%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +21.2 +3.3 +20.4
  Feb 06, 2013 149   @ Nevada W 73-69 79%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +8.1 +3.9 +4.3
  Feb 13, 2013 28   San Diego St. W 66-60 64%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +15.1 +7.2 +8.5
  Feb 16, 2013 85   @ Air Force W 89-86 64%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +11.9 +17.2 -5.3
  Feb 20, 2013 31   @ UNLV L 59-61 40%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +13.2 +1.7 +11.3
  Feb 23, 2013 16   New Mexico L 82-91 58%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +1.6 +16.0 -14.5
  Feb 27, 2013 99   Fresno St. W 74-67 85%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +8.5 +11.7 -2.6
  Mar 02, 2013 47   @ Boise St. L 65-78 47%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +0.3 +5.6 -7.2
  Mar 06, 2013 89   @ Wyoming W 78-56 65%     21 - 7 10 - 5 +30.6 +30.2 +5.9
  Mar 09, 2013 149   Nevada W 77-66 91%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +8.6 +4.7 +4.4
  Mar 13, 2013 99   Fresno St. W 67-61 77%     23 - 7 +10.8 +12.1 -0.3
  Mar 15, 2013 31   UNLV L 65-75 53%     23 - 8 +2.0 -2.4 +5.0
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 99.0% 99.0% 7.3 0.0 0.3 4.0 16.2 39.2 27.8 9.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 99.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 99.0% 0.0% 99.0% 7.3 0.0 0.3 4.0 16.2 39.2 27.8 9.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 99.0%